Supreme NFL Picks for August 24th, 2024
1. Los Angeles Rams vs. Houston Texans
Prediction: Rams win; Under 34.5 points.
Records:
Rams: 2-1 in the 2023 preseason.
Texans: 1-2 in the 2023 preseason.
ATS Trends:
Rams: Covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 preseason games.
Texans: Struggled ATS, covering only 2 of their last 7 preseason games.
Over/Under Trends:
Rams: The Under has hit in 5 of their last 7 preseason games.
Texans: The Under has hit in 4 of their last 5 preseason games.
Player Performance:
Rams: Backup QB Stetson Bennett has been inconsistent, with turnovers being a concern. The Rams’ defense has been solid, which has helped them stay competitive.
Texans: The Texans are expected to rotate quarterbacks, with Davis Mills and Case Keenum sharing snaps. Both QBs have had limited success in the preseason.
Insight: The Rams have been more consistent in the preseason, both in winning and covering the spread. With both teams focusing on defensive depth and avoiding injuries, the Under looks like a strong play.
2. Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Prediction: Vikings win; Over 37 points.
Records:
Vikings: 3-0 in the 2023 preseason.
Eagles: 2-1 in the 2023 preseason.
ATS Trends:
Vikings: Covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 preseason games.
Eagles: Covered the spread in just 3 of their last 9 preseason games.
Over/Under Trends:
Vikings: The Over has hit in 4 of their last 6 games.
Eagles: The Over has been mixed, hitting in 3 of their last 7 preseason games.
Player Performance:
Vikings: Nick Mullens and Jaren Hall have been impressive, leading the offense to high-scoring games. The Vikings’ depth on offense has been a strong point.
Eagles: The Eagles have struggled to dominate in the preseason, especially with their backups. The defense has been inconsistent, allowing points in crucial moments.
Insight: The Vikings have been one of the most consistent teams in the preseason, both in terms of winning and covering the spread. Given their offensive form, the Over is a favorable bet.
3. Cleveland Browns vs. Seattle Seahawks
Prediction: Browns win; Under 37.5 points.
Records:
Browns: 2-1 in the 2023 preseason.
Seahawks: 1-2 in the 2023 preseason.
ATS Trends:
Browns: Covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 preseason games.
Seahawks: Struggled ATS, covering only 2 of their last 8 preseason games.
Over/Under Trends:
Browns: The Over has hit in 4 of their last 6 preseason games.
Seahawks: The Under has been dominant, hitting in 6 of their last 8 preseason games.
Player Performance:
Browns: Deshaun Watson has been limited in preseason action, but backup QBs Kellen Mond and Dorian Thompson-Robinson have shown flashes. The Browns’ defense has been strong, particularly against the run.
Seahawks: The Seahawks have been inconsistent on offense, with Drew Lock and Sean Mannion struggling to find rhythm. Their defense has kept them in games, but the offense’s inefficiency has been a problem.
Insight: The Browns’ consistent defense and Seattle’s offensive struggles suggest a lower-scoring game. Cleveland’s ability to cover the spread makes them the favored pick.
4. Carolina Panthers vs. Buffalo Bills
Prediction: Bills win; Under 31 points.
Records:
Panthers: 1-2 in the 2023 preseason.
Bills: 2-1 in the 2023 preseason.
ATS Trends:
Panthers: Covered the spread in just 2 of their last 9 preseason games.
Bills: Covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 preseason games.
Over/Under Trends:
Panthers: The Under has hit in 6 of their last 8 preseason games.
Bills: The Under has hit in 5 of their last 7 preseason matchups.
Player Performance:
Panthers: Bryce Young has shown potential, but the Panthers have struggled to protect him. The defense has been inconsistent, particularly against the pass.
Bills: Mitch Trubisky has been solid in preseason action, leading the Bills’ offense in the absence of Josh Allen. The defense has been a strong point, especially the secondary.
Insight: Both teams have shown defensive strength in the preseason, leading to lower-scoring games. The Bills have been more consistent in covering the spread, making them the favored pick, with the Under being a strong option due to offensive limitations.
Summary
These predictions and data points should give you a comprehensive view of the upcoming games on August 24, 2024. The Rams, Vikings, Browns, and Bills are all favored based on recent trends, with a general lean towards the Under in most games due to defensive strategies and offensive rotations common in the preseason.