Supreme MLB Picks for August 25th, 2024
Summary
For August 25, 2024, the Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, New York Yankees, Toronto Blue Jays, Texas Rangers, Chicago Cubs, Minnesota Twins, Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago White Sox, Milwaukee Brewers, San Diego Padres, Seattle Mariners, Los Angeles Dodgers, and Houston Astros are favored to win their respective games. The trends point towards several games hitting the Over, particularly in matchups with struggling pitchers or potent offenses, while some games lean towards the Under due to strong pitching matchups.
1. Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Braves win; Over 9 runs.
Matchup Overview:
Nationals: Washington has struggled on the road, especially against top-tier teams like the Braves. Their pitching staff has been inconsistent, which could be problematic against Atlanta's potent offense.
Braves: The Braves are one of the best teams in the league, with a strong offense led by Ronald Acuña Jr. and Matt Olson. Their home field advantage has been significant, and they’ve been scoring runs at a high clip.
Betting Insights:
ATS Trends: The Braves have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 home games. Given their offensive firepower, they are favored to cover the -1.5 run line.
Over/Under Trends: The Over has hit in 6 of the last 8 games between these teams, making Over 9 runs a strong play.
2. Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox
Prediction: Red Sox win; Over 10.5 runs.
Matchup Overview:
Diamondbacks: Arizona has been competitive but has struggled with consistency, particularly with their bullpen. Their offense, led by Ketel Marte, can score runs but often falls short in high-scoring affairs.
Red Sox: Boston has been strong at home, with a powerful lineup that includes Rafael Devers and Trevor Story. Their pitching staff, however, has been hit-or-miss, leading to some high-scoring games.
Betting Insights:
ATS Trends: The Red Sox have covered the run line in 6 of their last 8 games at Fenway Park.
Over/Under Trends: Given both teams’ offensive capabilities and pitching inconsistencies, the Over 10.5 runs is the recommended play.
3. Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Prediction: Reds win; Under 8 runs.
Matchup Overview:
Reds: Cincinnati has been solid, particularly with their pitching. Their starters have been effective, and the bullpen has been reliable, making them tough to beat in low-scoring games.
Pirates: Pittsburgh has struggled offensively, particularly against strong pitching teams like the Reds. Their lineup has lacked consistency, leading to lower-scoring games.
Betting Insights:
ATS Trends: The Reds have covered the run line in 5 of their last 7 road games.
Over/Under Trends: The Under has hit in 7 of the last 9 games between these teams, especially when played in Pittsburgh. The Under 8 runs is a strong play.
4. Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees
Prediction: Yankees win; Over 9.5 runs.
Matchup Overview:
Rockies: Colorado has struggled on the road, particularly in the pitching department. Their offense can score runs, but it’s often not enough to overcome their pitching deficiencies.
Yankees: The Yankees, led by Aaron Judge, have been dominant at home. Their lineup is powerful, and they’ve been particularly effective against weaker pitching staffs like the Rockies'.
Betting Insights:
ATS Trends: The Yankees have covered the run line in 6 of their last 8 home games against sub-.500 teams.
Over/Under Trends: The Over has hit in 7 of the last 10 games involving the Rockies, making Over 9.5 runs a solid bet.
5. Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Blue Jays win; Under 8.5 runs.
Matchup Overview:
Angels: The Angels have struggled with injuries, particularly to key players like Mike Trout. Their offense has been inconsistent, and they’ve had difficulty scoring against strong pitching.
Blue Jays: Toronto has been strong at home, particularly in the pitching department. Their offense, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., has been consistent, making them a tough team to beat.
Betting Insights:
ATS Trends: The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 games at Rogers Centre.
Over/Under Trends: Given the Angels' offensive struggles and Toronto’s strong pitching, the Under 8.5 runs is the recommended play.
6. Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians
Prediction: Rangers win; Over 9 runs.
Matchup Overview:
Rangers: Texas has one of the most potent offenses in the league, led by Corey Seager and Marcus Semien. They’ve been particularly effective on the road, scoring runs in bunches.
Guardians: Cleveland has struggled offensively, particularly against strong pitching. Their bullpen has also been inconsistent, leading to high-scoring games.
Betting Insights:
ATS Trends: The Rangers have covered the run line in 8 of their last 10 road games.
Over/Under Trends: The Over has hit in 6 of the last 8 games between these teams, making Over 9 runs a strong play.
7. Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins
Prediction: Cubs win; Under 7.5 runs.
Matchup Overview:
Cubs: Chicago has been one of the better pitching teams this season. Their starters have been effective, and their bullpen has held leads late in games.
Marlins: Miami has struggled offensively, particularly against strong pitching. Their lineup has lacked power, leading to lower-scoring games.
Betting Insights:
ATS Trends: The Cubs have covered the run line in 5 of their last 7 games on the road.
Over/Under Trends: The Under has hit in 8 of the last 10 games between these teams, especially in Miami. The Under 7.5 runs is the recommended play.
